Rising sea and threatened mangroves: a case study on stakeholders,engagement in climate change communication and non-formal education

Scientific consensus shows that the changes related to climate change are already occurring and will intensify in the future. This will likely result in significant alterations to coastal ecosystems such as mangroves, increase coastal hazards and affect lifestyles of coastal communities. There is increasing speculation that mangrove, a socio-economically important ecosystem, will become more fragile and sensitive to uncertain climate variability such as sea level rise. As a result, mangrove-dependent societies may find themselves trapped in a downward spiral of ecological degradation in terms of their livelihoods and life security. Strengthening the resilience capacity of coastal communities to help them cope with this additional threat from climate change and to ensure sustainability calls for immediate action. In this context, this paper critically examines the regional implications of expected sea level rise and threats to mangrove-dependent communities through a case study approach. The main objective is to highlight the requirement for climate change communication and education to impart information that will fulfil three expectations: (1) confer understanding; (2) assess local inference on climate change through a participatory approach; and (3) construct a framework for climate change awareness among mangrove-dependent communities through community-based non-formal climate change education. This scale of approach is attracting increasing attention from policymakers to achieve climate change adaptation and derive policies from a social perspective.     

螺旋形障碍物对瓦斯爆炸影响的研究

瓦斯爆炸事故给煤矿生产、国家经济发展以及人民的生命财产造成了巨大损失,因此,在置障条件下研究瓦斯爆炸特性,对预防和减少瓦斯爆炸事故具有重要意义。利用水平管道式气体爆炸实验装置,研究了螺旋形障碍物对瓦斯最大爆炸压力以及最大爆炸压力上升速率的影响。结果表明:螺旋形障碍物的存在对瓦斯爆炸的爆炸压力和最大压力上升速率有明显促进的影响,随螺旋形障碍物螺旋的增加,对最大爆炸压力和最大压力上升速率的激励作用越明显。     

意大利东北部滨海湿地演变及其影响因素监测分析

意大利东北部海岸分布着独特的滨海湿地景观,在地中海区域具有极其重要的生态价值。该研究主要利用遥感影像监测1984—2016年滨海湿地演变,覆盖该区域所有的国际重要湿地保护区,并在此基础上定量分析滨海湿地演变的影响因素,深化对滨海湿地演变规律的认识,为今后制定与实施滨海湿地保护政策提供科学依据。研究结果显示,(1)滨海湿地的演变受一系列自然和人为因素影响,包括海平面上升、城市扩张、农业及旅游业发展等负面因素。保护区外的滨海湿地减少了21.62%,且岛屿湿地面临海平面上升的严重威胁,部分区域高达56%的湿地被海水侵蚀。(2)环保立法与修复措施在大部分滨海湿地集中分布片区得到有效实施,带来了积极的环境效应,湿地总面积从111 km²(1984年)增长至119 km²(2016年),保护区内滨海湿地大体上并未受到持续增强的人类活动带来的重大负面影响。但严格的环保措施和持续的城镇化产生了“环境极化”效应,同样不利于滨海湿地环境的长远维持。应当在保护区边缘区域采取弹性的环保策略,使滨海湿地环境得到更加可持续的有效保护。     

Explosion of lycopodium-nicotinic acid–methane complex hybrid mixtures

With the terms “complex hybrid mixtures”, we mean mixtures made of two or more combustible dusts mixed with flammable gas or vapors in air (or another comburent).In this work, the flammability and explosion behavior of selected complex hybrid mixtures was studied. In particular, we investigated mixtures of nicotinic acid, lycopodium and methane. We performed explosion tests in the 20-L explosion vessel at different overall (nicotinic plus lycopodium) dust concentrations, nicotinic acid/lycopodium ratios, and methane concentrations.An exceptional behavior (in terms of unexpected values of rate of pressure rise and pressure) was found for the complex hybrid mixtures containing lycopodium and nicotinic acid in equal amounts. This mixture was found to be much more reactive than all the other dust mixtures, whatever the dust concentration and the methane content.     

矿井突水路径搜索算法与应用

为了实现对矿井突水路径的搜索以及突水范围的预测,基于图论与网络理论,以巷道交叉点的标高为搜索权重,将水流流向分成下向蔓 延和上向升涨两个突水阶段,提出了水流下向、上向蔓延路径搜索算法。实现了对突水路径的搜索,并在已知巷道突水点的情况下,通过两个 时刻的巷道水位变化,计算得出了单位时间的突水量,结合给定的矿井巷道拓扑结构信息,对未来时间段的突水范围和水位标高点进行预测。 研究结果表明:在已知矿井突水点和矿井基础数据信息的情况下,应用无向图宽度优先搜索法生成矿井突水路径, 并结合得出的单位时间的突 水量,对下一时间段的突水量进行计算并对突水范围进行预测。     

发展生态经济 促进绿色崛起

2012年7月19—23日在江西农业大学隆重举行"中国生态经济建设2012.南昌论坛",与会代表围绕绿色经济、循环经济、低碳经济主题,达成4个方面的共识:一是正确认识人类文明发展出现的绿色新特征和世界绿色发展的新态势,主动顺应全球绿色经济与绿色发展的时代潮流;二是首次提出中国绿色崛起的重要引擎:绿色经济与绿色发展、循环经济与循环发展、低碳经济与低碳发展;三是对《中华人民共和国循环经济促进法》颁布实施4年来的反思;四是充分交流上升为国家战略的鄱阳湖生态经济区建设经验。     

隧道混合燃料火灾燃烧蔓延特性实验研究

隧道火灾一直是火灾科学研究领域的重要问题之一。近年来,隧道火灾中由于燃油泄漏而引起的火蔓延现象是一个新兴的研究热点。利用小尺寸(1:10)的隧道火灾模拟实验平台,开展了薄油、窄油池机制下不同混合比例下正丁醇-柴油燃烧特性实验研究。结果表明,根据正丁醇比例,可将正丁醇-柴油混合燃料分为两类。当正丁醇比例不大于20%时,主火焰蔓延速度线性增大,闪燃火焰则由间断变为持续存在且波长由14.17 cm减小到8.42 cm;油面温升速率逐渐增大;当正丁醇比例大于20%时,主火焰蔓延速度接近正丁醇蔓延速度(3.33 cm/s),闪燃火焰持续存在且波长在8.3 cm左右;油面温升速率基本相同。研究结果为认识隧道混合燃料火灾燃烧特性提供了参考。     

Greenhouse effect and coastal wetland policy: How Americans could abandon an area the size of Massachusetts at minimum cost

Climatologists generally expect an anthropogenic global warming that could raise sea level 30–150 cm in the next century and more thereafter. One of the impacts would be the loss of coastal wetlands. Although the inundation of adjacent dryland would enable new wetlands to form, much of this land is or will soon be developed. If developed areas are protected, wetlands will be squeezed between an advancing sea and the land being protected, which has already happened in China and the Netherlands, where people have built dikes for centuries. Unlike those countries, the United States has enough land to accommodate the landward migration of wetlands; but governments lack the funds to purchase all the coastal lowlands that might be inundated and the legal authority to prohibit their development. We propose a third approach: allowing property owners to use coastal lowlands today as they choose, but setting up a legal mechanism to ensure that the land is abandoned if and when sea level rises enough to inundate it. Although compensation may be required, this approach would cost less than 1% as much as purchasing the land, and would be (1) economically efficient by enabling real estate markets to incorporate expectations of future sea level rise; (2) constitutional by compensating property owners; and (3) politically feasible by pleasing people who care about the long-term fate of the coastal environment without disturbing people who either are unconcerned about the distant future or do not believe sea level will rise. This article demonstrates that it would be irrational to delay policy formulation until sea level rise projections are more precise. The cost will be small if we act now but great if we wait, and sea level is already rising along most coasts. The US government should develop a strategy in the next three years. The opinions expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect the views of EPA and no official endorsement should be inferred.     

海平面上升的影响及损失预测

气候变化引起的海平面上升对沿海国家和地区构及极大的威胁，造成了不同程度的破坏和损失，通过对海平面上升的可能影响进行了分析，提出了影响及损失的几种估算和评价方法。     

距今8～5万年间北京地区石笋同位素古温度与海平面变化探索

用MAT—251型同位素气体质谱仪对北京周口店洞穴石笋进行δ(18)O、δ(13)C．δD的稳定同位素的测定，并用α谱仪对石笋进行了铀系不平衡年龄测定。用同位素古温度测温法计算出不同地质年龄的古温度，得出距今8～5万年间该地区古温度的演化规律，并与同期渤海的海平面变化曲线进行对比，发现它们的海平面与古温度变化曲线十分一致，说明该地区8～5万年间海平面的变化主要是由古温度的变化引起的。